“The charts, as interpreted by Carley Garner, suggest that the recent commodities boom is not long for the world. She says we could still see some short-term upside … but longer-term, she thinks this bull is about to get slaughtered." - Jim Cramer, Mad Money Host
Commodity rallies have proven to be unsustainable. Can this time be different?
There is a saying in finance; “Don’t confuse genius with a bull market”. The massive commodity rally in recent years has likely resulted in overconfidence and complacency regarding the long commodity trade. We’ve seen this movie before; the ending is somewhat tragic for those that adopt the mantra “this time is different”. Commodity bull market narratives are always compelling, frightening, and overwhelming; they are also temporary.