DeCarley Trading - Futures, Options, Integrity

DeCarley Trading strives to offer the highest quality futures and options brokerage services at competitive rates. Whether you prefer trading online via a state-of-the-art trading platform, or with an experienced commodity broker, we are confident DeCarley is capable of exceeding your expectations.

Full- Service

Beginning traders are recommended to take advantage of the benefits of full service in order to gain orientation of the markets and trading in general.

Broker Assisted

If you are a relatively experienced futures and options trader but would like to have access to a broker, you may want to consider a broker assisted account.


Are you an experienced trader? If so, you may not need a broker; nor do you need to pay for service that you won't use. If this is you, save yourself some money and go for this option!


Self-Directed Pro

If brokers and commissions just get in your way, this is the plan for you. The Pro plan is reserved for those with ample account funding and trading experience to require minimal broker attention.

Managed Futures

Studies suggest traditional stock and bond portfolios can be improved with the addition of managed futures, let us help to determine if portfolio diversification makes sense for you.


We are partnered with a system vendor who has conducted due diligence on a handful of system developers, and over 300 systems, which have proven to be relevant.


  This newsletter was emailed to clients on August 22, 2011

Futures Market Analysis

Thank you for choosing DeCarley Trading.  We are proud to offer the DeCarley Perspective as an informational guide to our clients and subscribers.  We hope that you walk away from the newsletter with a better understanding of market fundamentals, as well as technical and seasonal factors. 

**There is substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options.

**Past performance is not indicative of future results

On the radar:

·         Are "beans in the teens" old news?



The USDA reduced its estimates of 2011/2012 ending soybean stocks from 175 to 155 on August 11 to trigger a rally from the lower end of the current trading range.  However, the jury is still out as to whether the run will be able to lift November beans above the upper end of the trading envelope.  We feel as though the fate of beans will be heavily influenced by trading in the currency markets and it seems as though the long-term prospects for a stable to higher dollar could work against the idea of a dramatic soybean rally.  That said, speculative buyers are active and would could see moderately new highs before buying runs out and the market fulfills its pattern of softening prices into October. 

With the most recent USDA revisions, the stocks to use ratio is a skimpy 5% but on the world scene it is a more comfortable 24%.  This simply means that supply on hand will be enough to meet 5% of domestic demand and 24% of global demand.  Either way, there will be little tolerance for poor crop conditions.  As of today (August 22nd) the USDA reported that 50% of soybeans were raged good to excellent, this is down from 64% a year ago.  With that in mind, we feel as though there could be enough pessimism to drive prices above $14.00 in the November contract and perhaps a bit higher if speculations run rampant we could see a full retest of resistance near $14.60ish.  The chart could find resistance near $14.30 and this is where aggressive traders might consider playing the downside with the assumption that position trades could suffer if the later resistance area becomes a target.    




Soybean Futures Market Analysis

DeCarley Trading

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**There is substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.  The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable.  Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities.  Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.

Futures and Options Trading Booksby Carley Garner

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