The DeCarley Perspective Trading Newsletter

Using Option Spreads to Trade the ES

Futures and Options Strategy Idea

 

How to "Get Short" the S&P 500 with Some Room for Error

Call and Put Option Spread for Bearish S&P Play

The red lines represent the strike prices of short options within the spread, the green line represents long options.  Maximum risk occurs above the top red line, maximum gain occurs below the bottom red line.
 

The bears are really starting to feel the pain. Many that we talk to have been holding short futures for several days, or weeks, but have been unable to draw a stopping point. After all, the rally has been in small increments and this often encourages traders to become complacent.

The chart suggests a test of 1501ish in the ES is possible, but we all know a market taking the stairs up often takes the elevator down. If it turns, it can easily leave a lot of "would-be" bears on the sidelines. If you want to gain exposure to the downside of this market without immediate risk, you can try a bear put spread with a naked leg.

Specifically, aggressive traders can buy a March 1485 put option, sell a March 1510 call and then sell a 1430 put. This combination can be done for "even money" before commissions and fees. In other words, for little to no out of pocket expense, you can go short the ES from 1485, with a max profit at expiration occurring at 1430 or below. If the market is below 1430 at expiration, the trade is profitable by nearly $2,750 but the trade doesn't benefit from additional weakness below 1430. Assuming a "free" entry, the risk on this trade is commission paid  as long as the market stays below 1510. If the market is above 1510 at expiration (at which point it is similar to being short a futures contract) the trade faces unlimited risk.

**Conservative traders might look to wait for higher prices (1500 to 1510) before executing a similar trade.**

The premise of this trade is to gain downside exposure without the immediate risk of shorting a futures contract, nor the out of pocket expense of buying a put option outright. 

Although it is cheap, or free, in regard to price...there is risk and, therefore, margin required.  We anticipate the margin on this trade to be about $1,800.

Keep in mind this strategy is a little more aggressive than the typical short option trades we typically recommend simply because the premium collected is consumed by the purchase of a put spread.


DeCarley Trading
Twitter:@carleygarner
This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
1-866-790-TRADE(8723
www.DeCarleyTrading.com
www.CurrencyTradingtheBook.com


Due to time constraints and our fiduciary duty to put clients first, the charts provided in this newsletter may not reflect the current session data.

**Seasonality is already factored into current prices, any references to such does not indicate future market action.


**There is substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options.**

Share

DeCarley Trading on Twitter

Carley Garner Trading Books

  • Higher Probability Commodity Trading, new Carley Garner book

    Higher Probability Commodity Trading, new Carley Garner book

    According to Phil Flynn, Fox Business News contributor, this is Carley Garner's "masterpiece"! Order from Amazon today! "A great read for both beginner and advanced commodity traders. Carley nails the seemingly impossible task of leveling the playing field by imparting vital concepts in easy to digest bites ...she doesn't leave out the harsh realities and heartbreak many overzealous speculators face." -- JON NAJARIAN, co-founder NajarianFamilyOffice.com "I love the book... it's an MBA in trading for the
    Read More
  • Commodity Options the Book

    Commodity Options the Book

    It isn't free, but it's close! If this book saves you 2 ticks, you've recouped your investment.   Commodities are hot, as Jim Rogers would say.  Stagnant stocks and the massive bull rally in raw commodities have lured much of the attention away from Wall Street and toward down-town Chicago.  It is difficult to turn on the television or open the newspaper without being reminded of the impact that commodity prices have on our daily lives.   Traders
    Read More
  • A Trader's First Book on Commodities

    A Trader's First Book on Commodities

    The Simple, Practical, 100% Useful How-To Guide for New Commodities Traders   Before you trade commodities, you'll need significant practical knowledge of the associated risks and market characteristics. That's where this book comes in. You won't find boring theory or bewilderingly complex trading strategies here. Instead, you will find specific guidance on accessing commodity markets cost-effectively, avoiding common beginners' mistakes, and improving the odds of successful trades. Drawing on her extensive experience teaching traders, Garner shows how to
    Read More
  • Currency Trading in the FOREX and Futures Markets

    Currency Trading in the FOREX and Futures Markets

    Get a copy of Carley Garner's latest book at Amazon.com, or any major outlet! "Once again, Carley Garner demonstrates her ability to boil down complex concepts for individual traders. Trading Currencies in the FOREX and Futures Market will put budding currency traders ahead of the curve with its unique blend of the basics and some refreshingly unexpected material." ~ Karris Golden, Traders Press® "Carley is a smart trader and broker; she understands the markets and the importance of
    Read More

Newsletter Trial